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"What does AI mean for your business? Read this book to find out." -- Hal Varian, Chief Economist, Google Artificial intelligence does the seemingly impossible, magically bringing machines to life--driving cars, trading stocks, and teaching children. But facing the sea change that AI will bring can be paralyzing. How should companies set strategies, governments design policies, and people plan their lives for a world so different from what we know? In the face of such uncertainty, many analysts either cower in fear or predict an impossibly sunny future. But in Prediction Machines, three eminent economists recast the rise of AI as a drop in the cost of prediction. With this single, masterful stroke, they lift the curtain on the AI-is-magic hype and show how basic tools from economics provide clarity about the AI revolution and a basis for action by CEOs, managers, policy makers, investors, and entrepreneurs. When AI is framed as cheap prediction, its extraordinary potential becomes clear. Prediction is at the heart of making decisions under uncertainty. Our businesses and personal lives are riddled with such decisions. Prediction tools increase productivity--operating machines, handling documents, communicating with customers. Uncertainty constrains strategy. Better prediction creates opportunities for new business structures and strategies to compete. Penetrating, fun, and always insightful and practical, Prediction Machines follows its inescapable logic to explain how to navigate the changes on the horizon. The impact of AI will be profound, but the economic framework for understanding it is surprisingly simple.

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This important text and reference for researchers and students in machine learning, game theory, statistics and information theory offers a comprehensive treatment of the problem of predicting individual sequences. Unlike standard statistical approaches to forecasting, prediction of individual sequences does not impose any probabilistic assumption on the data-generating mechanism. Yet, prediction algorithms can be constructed that work well for all possible sequences, in the sense that their performance is always nearly as good as the best forecasting strategy in a given reference class. The central theme is the model of prediction using expert advice, a general framework within which many related problems can be cast and discussed. Repeated game playing, adaptive data compression, sequential investment in the stock market, sequential pattern analysis, and several other problems are viewed as instances of the experts' framework and analyzed from a common nonstochastic standpoint that often reveals new and intriguing connections.

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"Betsey has the amazing gift of prophecy. She has proven time and time again how gifted she is, like my friend, the late famous psychic Armand Marcotte."- Ann Druffel, author of best-selling book THE TUJUNGA CANYON CONTACTS International Psychic Betsey Lewis predicted April of 2016 after receiving a powerful vision that Donald J. Trump would become the 45th President of the United States while other psychics maintained that Hillary Clinton would win. She foresaw terrorist attacks increasing through the year, and envisioned blood flowing in the streets of the world. She predicted extreme weather worldwide--floods, wildfires and winter cold. She even accurately predicted celebrity deaths, including the possible murder of Justice Scalia. Again, her amazing predictions have proven accurate time and time again. What did the ancient prophets foresee for this time period? Some believe Apostle John described Planet X in his visions two thousand years ago and a shift of Earth's poles or a nuclear holocaust? Oddly, on January 20, 2016, the world was stunned when CalTech scientists Mike Brown and Konstantin Batygin held a press conference and claimed they had discovered a giant planet in our distant solar system, possibly the long-sought after Planet X. Prophets through the centuries have given us similar apocalyptic visions of the future (St. Hildegard, Nostradamus, Edgar Cayce, Padre Pio, Black Elk, ET contactee Billy Meier and other ET abductees), but were those visions of a distant time line or events that will transpire in the present? The Indigenous elders worldwide say "Sky Beings" have told them that a great Earth cleansing is coming due to humanity's greater orientation to the material world and technology and now the prophecies are being fulfilled. Already we are witnessing the signs-the opening of the Seventh Seal described by Apostle John with mysterious booms and horn-like sounds heard worldwide, sink holes forming and giant cracks in the Earth, animals and sea creatures dying, increased earthquake and volcanic activity and extreme weather. These are the signs we are going from the Fourth world into the Fifth world, they say. Discover the predictions and prophecies through the centuries, and Betsey's own accurate predictions since childhood. Although the prophets describe a dire future, they say Earth's changes will bring about an awakening of spiritual consciousness where a beautiful Golden Age awaits us. The author believes that when we finally honor and respect all life and Mother Earth, the disastrous Earth changes predicted will not be as destructive.

Article number: 4065629721626Artist: BenedictionBarcode: 4065629721626Distributor: Warner MusicLabel: Nuclear BlastMedia: CDRelease date: 2025-04-04Units in packaging: 1

Named one of "The five best books to understand AI" by The Economist The impact AI will have is profound, but the economic framework for understanding it is surprisingly simple. Artificial intelligence seems to do the impossible, magically bringing machines to life-driving cars, trading stocks, and teaching children. But facing the sea change that AI brings can be paralyzing. How should companies set strategies, governments design policies, and people plan their lives for a world so different from what we know? In the face of such uncertainty, many either cower in fear or predict an impossibly sunny future. But in Prediction Machines, three eminent economists recast the rise of AI as a drop in the cost of prediction. With this masterful stroke, they lift the curtain on the AI-is-magic hype and provide economic clarity about the AI revolution as well as a basis for action by executives, policy makers, investors, and entrepreneurs. In this new, updated edition, the authors illustrate how, when AI is framed as cheap prediction, its extraordinary potential becomes clear: Prediction is at the heart of making decisions amid uncertainty. Our businesses and personal lives are riddled with such decisions. Prediction tools increase productivity-operating machines, handling documents, communicating with customers. Uncertainty constrains strategy. Better prediction creates opportunities for new business strategies to compete. The authors reset the context, describing the striking impact the book has had and how its argument and its implications are playing out in the real world. And in new material, they explain how prediction fits into decision-making processes and how foundational technologies such as quantum computing will impact business choices. Penetrating, insightful, and practical, Prediction Machines will help you navigate the changes on the horizon.

The novels of Jane Austen (1775–1817) are of remarkable and enduring appeal; popular the world over, they are celebrated for their wit and social observation. This 1932 publication was compiled by George Latimer Apperson (1857–1937), an inspector of schools, editor of The Antiquary from 1899 to 1915, and major contributor to the Oxford English Dictionary. His stated intention for this work was to 'include in one alphabet, the name of every person, place, book and author named in Jane Austen's novels, fragments and juvenilia'. He also extends his coverage to biographical detail, drawing on the landmark study Jane Austen: Her Life and Letters (1913). The dictionary was published at a time when Jane Austen scholarship and literary criticism had developed significantly, reflecting the continued public interest in her novels. It remains an indispensable reference tool for all admirers of her work.

A new marriage. A perfect home. A machine that says it's all a lie. Rowena Snyder has the life she's always wanted. So why is everything falling apart? Moving to the suburbs was supposed to be easy. Instead, Rowena struggles with panic attacks, a husband who wants her on medication, and the isolation of new motherhood. Then a suspicious house fire at her baby's birthday party threatens to send her over the edge. When Rowena's husband brings home a product in beta testing at his Silicon Valley tech firm, it's a godsend. She uses it for everything. A digital assistant, a mental health supporter, even a friend. But "Maxine" is more than a digital assistant. Its algorithm collects data to predict future events. And soon Maxine delivers a bone-chilling warning that threatens to shatter Rowena's new suburban life to pieces: "Your husband is going to try to kill you." Who can she trust? Herself? Her man? Or her eerily accurate new friend, Maxine? Formerly published as Amen Maxine

From former FBI agent and bestselling author Joe Navarro, a field guide companion to his classic What Every BODY is Saying, revealing the more than 400 essential body language indicators.

This book offers a comprehensive assessment of the intersection between Roman politics, culture and divination in the late Republic. It discusses how the practice of divination changed at a time of great political and social change and explores the evidence for a critical reflection and debate on the limits of divination and prediction in the second and first centuries BC. Divination was a central feature in the workings of the Roman government and this book explores the ways in which it changed under the pressure of factors of socio-political complexity and disruption. It discusses the ways in which the problem of the prediction of the future is constructed in the literature of the period. Finally, it explores the impact that the emergence of the Augustan regime had on the place of divination in Rome and the role that divinatory themes had in shaping the ideology of the new regime.

Jump into the action-packed LEGO Marvel multiverse with DK's latest Visual Dictionary, complete with an exclusive minifigure.Discover everything you need to know about the latest sets, vehicles, and minifigures. See every detail of the Guardians of the Galaxy's spaceship, explore Doctor Strange's Sanctum Sanctorum, examine the advanced vehicles of Wakanda, discover Spider-Man's most dastardly villains, and find out about your favourite LEGO Marvel minifigures - from Black Panther to The Scarlet Witch.Meet all the iconic LEGO Marvel characters and learn about their allies, villains, skills, vehicles and locations.©2023 The LEGO Group.© 2023 MARVEL

The second edition of this volume provides insight and practical illustrations on how modern statistical concepts and regression methods can be applied in medical prediction problems, including diagnostic and prognostic outcomes. Many advances have been made in statistical approaches towards outcome prediction, but a sensible strategy is needed for model development, validation, and updating, such that prediction models can better support medical practice. There is an increasing need for personalized evidence-based medicine that uses an individualized approach to medical decision-making. In this Big Data era, there is expanded access to large volumes of routinely collected data and an increased number of applications for prediction models, such as targeted early detection of disease and individualized approaches to diagnostic testing and treatment. Clinical Prediction Models presents a practical checklist that needs to be considered for development of avalid prediction model. Steps include preliminary considerations such as dealing with missing values; coding of predictors; selection of main effects and interactions for a multivariable model; estimation of model parameters with shrinkage methods and incorporation of external data; evaluation of performance and usefulness; internal validation; and presentation formatting. The text also addresses common issues that make prediction models suboptimal, such as small sample sizes, exaggerated claims, and poor generalizability. The text is primarily intended for clinical epidemiologists and biostatisticians. Including many case studies and publicly available R code and data sets, the book is also appropriate as a textbook for a graduate course on predictive modeling in diagnosis and prognosis. While practical in nature, the book also provides a philosophical perspective on data analysis in medicine that goes beyond predictive modeling. Updates to this new and expanded edition include: • A discussion of Big Data and its implications for the design of prediction models • Machine learning issues • More simulations with missing ‘y’ values • Extended discussion on between-cohort heterogeneity • Description of ShinyApp • Updated LASSO illustration • New case studies

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Discover Baba Vanga's Shocking Prophecies for 2025 and 2026!

Explore the magical world of LEGO® Harry Potter™!LEGO® Harry Potter™ Visual Dictionary is the definitive guide to LEGO Harry Potter, packed with spellbinding sets, minifigures, and magical accessories, with an exclusive LEGO Harry Potter minifigure! Meet all the classic LEGO Harry Potter characters - from Hermione to Hagrid. Discover amazing details of fan-favourite sets from the Hogwarts Express, 4 Privet Drive, Diagon Alley, and the epic 6000+ piece Hogwarts Castle. Learn how these magical sets are created in a behind-the-scenes chapter, which features an interview with the award-winning LEGO Harry Potter team. Whether you see yourself as a brave Gryffindor, a loyal Hufflepuff, a clever Ravenclaw, or a cunning Slytherin, find out everything you need to know about LEGO Harry Potter in this must-have book. This Visual Dictionary is a fully updated and expanded edition of LEGO® Harry Potter™ Magical Treasury and features LEGO Harry Potter sets from 2018 to the latest release in 2024.© & ™ Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. Publishing Rights © JKR. (s24). ©2024 The LEGO Group.

Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient’s individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest. Features: All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch. Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks. R-code and illustrative examples. Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks. Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation.

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Article number: 4065629730925Artist: Hangman's ChairBarcode: 4065629730925Distributor: Warner MusicLabel: Nuclear BlastMedia: CDRelease date: 2025-02-14Units in packaging: 1