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The economic columnist explores the factors contributing to and potential investment responses to the period of deflation he believes is imminent

The credit crunch today is not destroying capital but recognising that capital was destroyed by misallocation in the years of irrational exuberance. If that is so, then we are entering a spiral of debt deflation that will play out slowly for years to come. To understand how that works, we turn to Professor Irving Fisher of Yale (1933).

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We live in an extraordinary time. Technological advances are happening at a rate faster than our ability to understand them, and in a world that moves faster than we can imagine, we cannot afford to stand still. These advances bring efficiency and abundance--and they are profoundly deflationary. Our economic systems were built for a pre-technology era when labour and capital were inextricably linked, an era that counted on growth and inflation, an era where we made money from inefficiency. That era is over, but we keep on pretending that those economic systems still work. The only thing driving growth in the world today is easy credit, which is being created at a pace that is hard to comprehend--and with it, debt that we will never be able to pay back. As we try to artificially drive an economic system built for the past, we are creating more than just economic trouble. On our current path, our world will become profoundly more polarized and unsafe. We need to build a new framework for our local and global economies, and soon; we need to accept deflation and embrace the abundance it can bring. Otherwise, the same technology that has the power to bring abundance to us and our world will instead destroy it. In this extraordinary contrarian book, Jeff Booth, a leading mind and CEO in e-commerce and technology for 20 years, details the technological and economic realities shaping our present and our future, and the choices we face as we go forward--a potentially alarming, but deeply hopeful situation.

The Coming Deflation: Its Dangers--And Opportunities [Hardcover] C. V. Myers (Author)

In Debt, Innovations, and Deflation, the authors analyze the deflation theories of Thorstein Veblen, Irving Fisher, Joseph A. Schumpeter, and Hyman Minsky. In so doing, they develop a paradigm for understanding the phenomenon of deflation. They explain how technological, organizational, and financial innovations, combined with developments related to the creation and use of debt, give rise to conditions in which both deflation and inflation can be present in the modern economy. The past several years have ushered in a new era in economic policy issues. After decades of concern over inflation, a series of studies brought to light the potentially greater danger of deflation. In response, the authors provide a critical re-examination of the literature and theories of deflation. A driving question behind the research is whether post-World War II capitalist economies rely on economic policies and institutional reforms to keep an inherent tendency toward deflation in check? And can the theories of Veblen, Fisher, Schumpeter and Minsky shed light on how the creation and use of debt can create a modern economy affected simultaneously by deflation and inflation? Scholars and students of economic history and finance will enjoy this insightful examination of the subject.

In Debt, Innovations, and Deflation, the authors analyze the deflation theories of Thorstein Veblen, Irving Fisher, Joseph A. Schumpeter, and Hyman Minsky. In so doing, they develop a paradigm for understanding the phenomenon of deflation. They explain how technological, organizational, and financial innovations, combined with developments related to the creation and use of debt, give rise to conditions in which both deflation and inflation can be present in the modern economy. The past several years have ushered in a new era in economic policy issues. After decades of concern over inflation, a series of studies brought to light the potentially greater danger of deflation. In response, the authors provide a critical re-examination of the literature and theories of deflation. A driving question behind the research is whether post-World War II capitalist economies rely on economic policies and institutional reforms to keep an inherent tendency toward deflation in check? And can the theories of Veblen, Fisher, Schumpeter and Minsky shed light on how the creation and use of debt can create a modern economy affected simultaneously by deflation and inflation? Scholars and students of economic history and finance will enjoy this insightful examination of the subject.

Insanity seems to rule the financial markets and many investors are driven by delusion and anxiety. May everything you thought you knew about investing be wrong?  The Austrian School’s approach provides the needed respite for investors caught in inflationary treadmills. Conventional investment experts often overlook economic developments which may become a hazard for mainstream investors. Instead, the Austrian School of Economics has proved itself as an independent approach beyond the interests of politicians and bankers.  The financial system is shaking. This book presents new paths through the shaky grounds between the tectonic plates of inflation and deflation to both private and professional investors. "This book is a must-have for every responsible investor!" (Felix W. Zulauf, Investor) "I am grateful to the authors of this book for not only highlighting the fundamental principles of the Austrian School but also for showing how investors can make practical use of them. " (Dr. Marc Faber, Investor) "For the first time an extensive compendium has been published in which the theoretical foundations developed by the 'Austrians' have been made useful for the investor's practical needs. The authors develop a remarkable 'Austrian investment philosophy'." (Prof. Guido Hülsmann, University of Angers) "The Austrian School’s perception helps us to see long-term patterns and opportunities that today are often hidden. [...] For the authors and their important work I hope for the widest possible audience of a bestseller." (Prince Philipp von und zu Liechtenstein, Chairman LGT Group)

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of desperate stimulus — and what to do about it now Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world. Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy. But now, Dent argues, the fundam

Bestselling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” and what to do about it nowThroughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-sosecret weapon: demographics. He can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world.Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation.Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions and offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies.

Real World Economic Outlook is a yearly publication that will review issues in the global economy from a different, radical and more realistic perspective. In stark contrast to the output of other institutions like the IMF and World Bank, this annual report is written in an accessible way, informing and offering alternative analyses of the global economy to a wide audience. Real World Economic Outlook 2003 's theme is globalization's true legacy: debt deflation. Globalization is examined not as a spontaneous event of economic and technological combustion, but as a deliberate strategy to place finance at the centre of our communities - whether local, national or global. The legacy of this strategy has proved disastrous. Individuals, households, governments and corporations have collectively been lured into a quagmire of debt and deflation.

Insanity seems to rule the financial markets and many investors are driven by delusion and anxiety. May everything you thought you knew about investing be wrong?  The Austrian School’s approach provides the needed respite for investors caught in inflationary treadmills. Conventional investment experts often overlook economic developments which may become a hazard for mainstream investors. Instead, the Austrian School of Economics has proved itself as an independent approach beyond the interests of politicians and bankers.  The financial system is shaking. This book presents new paths through the shaky grounds between the tectonic plates of inflation and deflation to both private and professional investors. "This book is a must-have for every responsible investor!" (Felix W. Zulauf, Investor) "I am grateful to the authors of this book for not only highlighting the fundamental principles of the Austrian School but also for showing how investors can make practical use of them. " (Dr. Marc Faber, Investor) "For the first time an extensive compendium has been published in which the theoretical foundations developed by the 'Austrians' have been made useful for the investor's practical needs. The authors develop a remarkable 'Austrian investment philosophy'." (Prof. Guido Hülsmann, University of Angers) "The Austrian School’s perception helps us to see long-term patterns and opportunities that today are often hidden. [...] For the authors and their important work I hope for the widest possible audience of a bestseller." (Prince Philipp von und zu Liechtenstein, Chairman LGT Group)

Insanity seems to rule the financial markets and many investors are driven by delusion and anxiety. May everything you thought you knew about investing be wrong? The Austrian School’s approach provides the needed respite for investors caught in inflationary treadmills.Conventional investment experts often overlook economic developments which may become a hazard for mainstream investors. Instead, the Austrian School of Economics has proved itself as an independent approach beyond the interests of politicians and bankers. The financial system is shaking. This book presents new paths through the shaky grounds between the tectonic plates of inflation and deflation to both private and professional investors."This book is a must-have for every responsible investor!" (Felix W. Zulauf, Investor)"I am grateful to the authors of this book for not only highlighting the fundamental principles of the Austrian School but also for showing how investors can make practical use of them. " (Dr. Marc Faber, Investor)"For the first time an extensive compendium has been published in which the theoretical foundations developed by the 'Austrians' have been made useful for the investor's practical needs. The authors develop a remarkable 'Austrian investment philosophy'." (Prof. Guido Hülsmann, University of Angers)"The Austrian School’s perception helps us to see long-term patterns and opportunities that today are often hidden. [...] For the authors and their important work I hope for the widest possible audience of a bestseller." (Prince Philipp von und zu Liechtenstein, Chairman LGT Group)

Have fun splashing, playing, and keeping cool all summer long with a Blue Wave Round Inflatable Pool. Multiple air chambers, a double-valve intake, and free-flow exhaust valve allow for easy inflation and deflation. Crafted from durable, heavy-gauge PVC, this inflatable round pool is certain to deliver many summers of fun and enjoyment for the whole family. Includes a matching cover.

Have a splash with the whole family or friends in the Intex Swim Center family pool. The wide side walls allow for maximum play room, and 3 air chambers, each with a combo valve, make inflation and deflation a breeze. Build with a heavy gauge vinyl and 3 air chambers, this pool is ready for hours of fun in the sun! When inflated, this pool is about 120 x 72 x 22 inches and a water capacity of 264 gallons (14.5 feet of wall height). It's recommended for users ages 6 years and older. Have fun in your own backyard with the whole family all summer long with the Intex Swim Center family pool. Color: Blue.

The Intex River Rat Floating Tube features 2 air chambers with double valves for additional strength. It is manufactured with vinyl material for high durability. This floating tube has a simple design that features easy inflation and deflation. It comes with a grab line and a repair patch kit for your convenience. This from Intex includes 3 floating tubes. Color: Green/Black.

Have fun splashing, playing, and keeping cool all summer long with a Blue Wave Rectangular Inflatable Pool. Multiple air chambers, a double-valve intake, and free-flow exhaust valve allow for easy inflation and deflation. Crafted from durable, heavy-gauge PVC, this inflatable rectangular pool is certain to deliver many summers of fun and enjoyment for the whole family. Includes a matching cover.

VEVOR Spill Absorbent Pads, Water Absorbing Mat Pad in Dispenser Box, 6 Gal Capacity, 15" L x19" W Polypropylene Absorbent Pad for Water, 30 pcs per BoxSKYSHALO Quick Inflation/Deflation PumpSecure Anchoring System for StabilityEasy Access with Detachable Four-Step Soft LadderVersatile Applications for Unlimited FunUnleash the Fun with SKYSHALO Inflatable Floating DockEffortless Setup, Maximum Enjoyment with SKYSHALO Inflatable Floating DockFloating Dock Material: PVC Brushed Non-slip Fabric,Item Color: White + Orange,Item Height: 6 in / 152 mm,Item Model Number: RD305-183,D-Ring Material: Stainless Steel,Product Weight: 55.11 lbs / 25.6 kg,Product Dimensions: 10 x 10 ft / 3.04 x 3.04 m

The Intex River Rat Floating Tube features 2 air chambers with double valves for additional strength. It is manufactured with vinyl material for high durability. This floating tube has a simple design that features easy inflation and deflation. It comes with a grab line and a repair patch kit for your convenience. This from Intex includes 6 floating tubes. Color: Green/Black.