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The ability to develop and test theories using data is central to the development of foundational theories ‎in any field. In mixed martial arts, the large volume of fight data that has accumulated over the years ‎enables us to conduct systematic testing of layman theories about mixed martial arts competition ‎outcomes, and to develop a rigorous conceptual framework for professionals in the field. Using data ‎from hundreds of fights, this book provides empirically tested answers to a long list of questions such ‎as these:‎ ‏What are the effects of height and reach‏ ‏advantage on a fighter's likelihood of winning an MMA fight? Does age affect how a fighter wins? Is there a hometown advantage? ‎ Do fighters' pre-fight rituals affect the‏ ‏way fights end? Do southpaw fighters have an advantage‏ ‏over their orthodox opponents? ‎ How does a fighter's weight affect the‏ ‏types of injuries experienced in a fight? Are fighters from certain countries better than others?‎‏ How accurately can fight outcomes be predicted?‎ Utilizing a scientific approach, the book tests common theories about what drives success in mixed martial ‎arts combat. ‎

How a band of maverick physicists used chaos theory to trade their way to fortune on Wall Street.How could a couple of rumpled physicists in sandals and Eat the Rich T-shirts, piling computers into an adobe house in Santa Fe, hope to take on the Masters of the Universe from Goldman Sachs? Doyne Farmer and Norman Packard may never have read The Wall Street Journal, but they happen to be among the founders of the new sciences of chaos and complexity. Who better to try to find order in the apparently unreasoned chaos of the global financial markets? Thomas Bass first made readers aware of Farmer and Packard in The Eudaemonic Pie, in which he chronicled their assault on the casinos of Las Vegas. Here, Bass takes us inside their start-up company, at first a motley collection of long-haired Ph.D.s, nervously testing their computer forecasting models. As confidence builds, Farmer and Packard make their way to the centers of financial power, where they find investors and ultimately go live with real money. Once they are off and running, The Predictors becomes a dizzying, often hilarious tale of genius and greed, power brokers and rebels, as well as a brisk education in chaos, complexity, and the world financial markets.

The ability to develop and test theories using data is central to the development of foundational theories ‎in any field. In mixed martial arts, the large volume of fight data that has accumulated over the years ‎enables us to conduct systematic testing of layman theories about mixed martial arts competition ‎outcomes, and to develop a rigorous conceptual framework for professionals in the field. Using data ‎from hundreds of fights, this book provides empirically tested answers to a long list of questions such ‎as these:‎ ‏What are the effects of height and reach‏ ‏advantage on a fighter's likelihood of winning an MMA fight? Does age affect how a fighter wins? Is there a hometown advantage? ‎ Do fighters' pre-fight rituals affect the‏ ‏way fights end? Do southpaw fighters have an advantage‏ ‏over their orthodox opponents? ‎ How does a fighter's weight affect the‏ ‏types of injuries experienced in a fight? Are fighters from certain countries better than others?‎‏ How accurately can fight outcomes be predicted?‎ Utilizing a scientific approach, the book tests common theories about what drives success in mixed martial ‎arts combat. ‎

The Success Attributes were derived from a 20-year longitudinal study of The Frostig Center graduates who, although despite having identified learning challenges, became successful adults. This guide contains lessons for teachers of all students in grades 1-8 to introduce and embed the Success Attributes as they teach all subject areas. In addition to specific lessons and ideas for each attribute, the guide includes suggestions for building a school culture of success as well as a rich bibliography of children's literature and film that support reinforcing the Success Attributes.

The approach of the year 2000 has made the study of apocalyptic movements trendy. But groups anticipating the end of the world will continue to predict Armageddon even after the calendar clicks to triple 0s. A Doomsday Reader brings together pronouncements, edicts, and scriptures written by prominent apocalyptic movements from a wide range of traditions and ideologies to offer an exceptional look into their belief systems. Focused on attaining paradise, millenarianism often anticipates great, cosmic change. While most think of religious belief as motivating such fervor, Daniels' comparative approach encompasses secular movements such as environmentalism and the Montana Freemen, and argues that such groups are often more political than religious in nature. The book includes documents from groups such as the Branch Davidians, the Order of the Solar Temple, Heaven's Gate, and white supremacists. Each document is preceded by a substantive introduction placing the movement and its beliefs in context. This important overview of contemporary politics of the End will remain a valuable resource long after the year 2000 has come and gone.

Humans’ development of literacy has been a recent focus of intense research from the reading, cognitive, and neuroscience fields. But for individuals who are deaf―who rely greatly on their visual skills for language and learning―the findings don’t necessarily apply, leaving theoretical and practical gaps in approaches to their education. Assessing Literacy in Deaf Individuals: Neurocognitive Measurement and Predictors narrows these gaps by introducing the VL2 Toolkit, a comprehensive test battery for assessing the academic skills and cognitive functioning of deaf persons who use sign language. Skills measured include executive functioning, memory, reading, visuospatial ability, writing fluency, math, and expressive and receptive language. Comprehensive data are provided for each, with discussion of validity and reliability issues as well as ethical and legal questions involved in the study. And background chapters explain how the Toolkit was compiled, describing the procedures of the study, its rationale, and salient characteristics of its participants. This notable book:Describes each Toolkit instrument and the psychometric properties it measures. Presents detailed findings on test measures and relationships between skills.Discusses issues and challenges relating to visual representations of English, including fingerspelling and lipreading.Features a factor analysis of the Toolkit measures to identify underlying cognitive structures in deaf learners.Reviews trends in American Sign Language assessment.Assessing Literacy in Deaf Individuals is an essential reference for researchers, graduate students, clinicians, and other professionals working in the field of deafness and deaf education across in such areas as clinical child and school psychology, audiology, and linguistics.

Humans’ development of literacy has been a recent focus of intense research from the reading, cognitive, and neuroscience fields. But for individuals who are deaf―who rely greatly on their visual skills for language and learning―the findings don’t necessarily apply, leaving theoretical and practical gaps in approaches to their education. Assessing Literacy in Deaf Individuals: Neurocognitive Measurement and Predictors narrows these gaps by introducing the VL2 Toolkit, a comprehensive test battery for assessing the academic skills and cognitive functioning of deaf persons who use sign language. Skills measured include executive functioning, memory, reading, visuospatial ability, writing fluency, math, and expressive and receptive language. Comprehensive data are provided for each, with discussion of validity and reliability issues as well as ethical and legal questions involved in the study. And background chapters explain how the Toolkit was compiled, describing the procedures of the study, its rationale, and salient characteristics of its participants. This notable book:Describes each Toolkit instrument and the psychometric properties it measures. Presents detailed findings on test measures and relationships between skills.Discusses issues and challenges relating to visual representations of English, including fingerspelling and lipreading.Features a factor analysis of the Toolkit measures to identify underlying cognitive structures in deaf learners.Reviews trends in American Sign Language assessment.Assessing Literacy in Deaf Individuals is an essential reference for researchers, graduate students, clinicians, and other professionals working in the field of deafness and deaf education across in such areas as clinical child and school psychology, audiology, and linguistics.

With myriad investment books on the market that specialize in discussing one, two or a half-dozen investment predictors, indicators, theories and/or strategies, what more can be said?Divining the Dow, by Richard J. Maturi, is a one-of-a-kind guide to stock market prediction systems that provides concise descriptions of 100 of the most important stock prediction systems in use, and lets you evaluate them yourself - you can then choose the one that best fits your investing needs and strategies.Divining the Dow illustrates how the system works, who uses it, where to get more information, and, where appropriate, includes graphs and charts that clearly demonstrate how the system works.

Ron Kurtz and Donna Martin met in 1990. Ron and Donna began teaching together almost immediately and at around the same time, Ron had the inspiration for the practice of Loving Presence.It can be said that when the mind is quiet, the heart will do the work.Research has confirmed that the most significant predictor for a successful therapeutic outcome is the quality of the therapist’s relationship with the client. Ron recognized that the ideal state of mind for therapists – which can be cultivated with practice – was what he called “Loving Presence”. Not only did Ron recognize the power of this state of mind for therapists (as well as for anyone in any kind of significant relationship), but he was able to brilliantly articulate a sequence of stages to cultivate this way of being.It was Ron’s wish that the practice of Loving Presence be made available to as many people as possible. This is the immense contribution to the world that is the legacy of Ron Kurtz.

To Pat Cunningham vocabulary isn't just a predictor for comprehension it is a reminder of how much meaning vocabulary matters and how complex it is to teach children meanings for words.   In many ways, things are better in our schools for children who we used to call “underprivileged” and “disadvantaged.” Every state now has public kindergarten and pre K is available for our most needy children.  The Internet and other technologies make “bringing words to life” a richer and more do-able goal.  However, we still have many children coming to school with impoverished vocabularies.  Many of these children come from underpriviledged families and many do not come with much English.  Drawing on her experience as a classroom teacher, researcher, scholar, author, and co-founder of the Four-Blocks Literacy Framework Pat Cunningham offers elementary teachers a practical model and friendly strategies for helping ALL students develop their vocabularies. Guiding teachers to use all available resources to build rich meaning vocabularies, she helps to ensure every student's success in school and beyond.  There is no way to overstate the importance of meaning vocabulary to comprehension.  The size of a child's vocabulary is one of the best predictors of how well he or she will comprehend while listening or reading. Simply stated, what really matters is building bigger vocabulary to make all students better readers.     Features: Practical strategies teachers can use to build meaning vocabulary throughout the school day. Separate chapters for building vocabulary during math, science, social studies and the arts and physical education.

This monograph provides an up-to-date discussion of analysis strategies for regression problems in which predictor variables are measured with errors. The analysis of nonlinear regression models includes generalized linear models, transform-both-sides models and quasilikelihood and variance function problems. The text concentrates on the general ideas and strategies of estimation and inference rather than being concerned with a specific problem. Measurement error occurs in many fields, such as biometry, epidemiology and economics. In particular, the book contains a large number of epidemiological examples. An outline of strategies for handling progressively more difficult problems is also provided.

Racial and ethnic disparities in health care are known to reflect access to care and other issues that arise from differing socioeconomic conditions. There is, however, increasing evidence that even after such differences are accounted for, race and ethnicity remain significant predictors of the quality of health care received.In Unequal Treatment, a panel of experts documents this evidence and explores how persons of color experience the health care environment. The book examines how disparities in treatment may arise in health care systems and looks at aspects of the clinical encounter that may contribute to such disparities. Patients' and providers' attitudes, expectations, and behavior are analyzed.How to intervene? Unequal Treatment offers recommendations for improvements in medical care financing, allocation of care, availability of language translation, community-based care, and other arenas. The committee highlights the potential of cross-cultural education to improve provider-patient communication and offers a detailed look at how to integrate cross-cultural learning within the health professions. The book concludes with recommendations for data collection and research initiatives. Unequal Treatment will be vitally important to health care policymakers, administrators, providers, educators, and students as well as advocates for people of color.

Presents the Bible as a literal record and predictor of world history, and as evidence of a program for man's salvation, including Genesis, the Flood, Christ's birth and ministry, and present and future ages.

Today, most people look down when they want to check the weather, peeking at cell phones or popping open a browser, instead of looking up at one of the most accessible weather predictors of all—the sky. Knowing what the atmosphere has in store without relying on technology can be a gratifying experience, and now with An Observer’s Guide to Clouds and Weather, it is also one that is easy to learn.This informative and accessible guide walks readers through the basics of making weather predictions through understanding cloud types and sky formations. It explains, in nontechnical terms, the science behind the weather, connecting fundamental meteorological concepts with the processes that shape weather patterns. Readers will learn how to develop their powers of observation and hone their ability to make quick forecasts without complicated tools. Whether you're an amateur weather enthusiast or a beginning meteorology student, An Observer’s Guide to Clouds and Weather will help anyone who prefers looking up to looking it up.

Learning new words is foundational to success in school and life. Researchers have known for years that how many word meanings a student knows is one of the strongest predictors of how well that student will understand text and be able to communicate through writing. This book is about how children learn the meanings of new words (and the concepts they convey) and how teachers can be strategic in deciding which words to teach, how to teach them, and which words not to teach at all. This book offers a comprehensive approach to vocabulary instruction. It offers not just practical classroom activities for teaching words (though plenty of those are included), but ways that teachers can make the entire curriculum more effective at promoting students' vocabulary growth. It covers the 'why to' and 'when to' as well as the 'how to' of teaching word meanings. Key features of this exciting new book include: - A variety of vocabulary activities. Activities for teaching different kinds of words such as high frequency words, high utility words, and new concepts, are explained and illustrated. - Guidelines for choosing words. A chart provides a simple framework built around seven basic categories of words that helps teachers decide which words to teach and how to teach them. - Word learning strategies. Strategies are offered that will help students use context, word parts, and dictionaries more effectively. - Developing Word Consciousness. Although specific vocabulary instruction is fully covered, the primary goal of this book is to develop students' independent interest in words and their motivation to learn them. - Integrated Vocabulary Instruction. Teachers are encouraged to improve the reading vocabularies of their students by looking for opportunities to integrate vocabulary learning into activities that are undertaken for other purposes.

Why do some families survive stressful situations while others fall apart? Can a family’s beliefs and values be used as a predictor of vulnerability to stress? And most importantly, can family stress be prevented?The

Neuware - Young children's knowledge of letter names and sounds is the best predictor of their reading and spelling progress in school--but studies show that many children still struggle with alphabet knowledge at the end of first grade. Now there's a fun and affordable way to answer the call for effective alphabet instruction, without changing your whole curriculum or investing in expensive teaching materials and training.

A half-century of psychotherapy research has shown that the quality of the therapeutic alliance is the most robust predictor of treatment success. This practical, theoretically sophisticated book provides a systematic framework for negotiating ruptures in the alliance and transforming them into therapeutic breakthroughs. The book is grounded in recent developments in relational psychoanalysis, as well as findings from the authors' highly regarded research program. Chapters spell out clear principles of intervention illustrated with extensive clinical vignettes and transcript material. Particular attention is given to the therapist's inner processes and the role they play in resolving alliance ruptures. Other topics covered include the use of therapist self-disclosure and metacommunication; interactional patterns of successful therapist-patient dyads; applications to short-term treatment; and guidelines for training and supervision.

Hardcover. Next Generation Safety Leadership illustrates practical applications that bring theory to life through case studies and stories from the author's years of experience in high-risk industries. The book provides safety leaders and their organisations with a compelling case for change. A key predictor of safety performance is trust, and its associated components of integrity, ability and benevolence (care). The next generation of safety leaders will take the profession forward by creating trust and psychological safety. The book provides safety leaders with actionable goals to enable positive change and translates academic languages into practical applications. It leaves the reader with a clear strategy to move forward in developing a safety plan and utilizes stories, humor, and case studies set in high-risk industries. Written primarily for the safety community and can be used to influence day to day safety operations in high-risk organisations. This book provides safety leaders and their organisations with a compelling case for change. A key predictor of safety performance is trust, and its associated components of integrity, ability and benevolence (care). The next generation of safety leaders will move the profession forward by creating trust and psychological safety. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.

By entering the culture wars, churchgoers in the United States have ushered the Left and the Right to even greater extremes. Battles over moral issues like abortion rights and homosexuality have now widened to include taxation and size of government, so that specific church affiliation has become an accurate predictor of political party affiliation. The extremists in American politics rely on Christians to be the engine that pushes the culture farther right or left.Allen Hilton believes that religion isn't inherently divisive, and he suggests a new role for Christianity. Jesus prayed that his disciples might all be one, and this book imagines a proper answer to that prayer in the context of American polarization.Rather than asking people to leave their political and theological beliefs at the church door, Hilton promotes a Christianity that brings people together with their differences. Through God's transforming work, he writes, we can create a house united that will help our nation come back together.